{"key":"war_risk.red_sea","title":"Red Sea war-risk premium","unit":"% of hull value","signal_class":"price_free_market","intake":"review","cadence":"event-driven","feed_source":"tradepress","thresholds":{"friction":0.5,"halt":5.0,"label":"Empirical thresholds from the 2019–2026 episode record — not model outputs"},"last_fetch":{"at":"2026-08-22T13:19:09.008111","status":"success","stale":false,"last_error":null},"observations":[{"date":"2023-10-01","value":0.05,"value_low":0.05,"value_high":0.05,"midpoint_of_range":false,"source_url":"https://www.policyholderpulse.com/red-sea-transit-insurance-premiums-coverage-exclusions/#before","source_name":"Pillsbury Policyholder Pulse"},{"date":"2023-12-15","value":0.7,"value_low":0.7,"value_high":0.7,"midpoint_of_range":false,"source_url":"https://www.policyholderpulse.com/red-sea-transit-insurance-premiums-coverage-exclusions/","source_name":"Pillsbury Policyholder Pulse"},{"date":"2025-07-10","value":0.7,"value_low":0.7,"value_high":0.7,"midpoint_of_range":false,"source_url":"https://gcaptain.com/war-risk-premiums-surge-amid-renewed-red-sea-attacks/","source_name":"Industry sources via Reuters/gCaptain"}],"events":[{"date":"2019-06-17","title":"Gulf of Oman attacks: supertanker war-risk premium >= $185,000/transit (~10x in 2 months)","source_url":"https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/international/2019/06/17/529537.htm","kind":"news"},{"date":"2026-08-16","title":"JWLA-034","source_url":"https://lmalloyds.com/committee/joint-war-committee/","kind":"jwc_listing"}]}